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美国原国家安全会议官员谈美国目前的乌克兰政策困境 [复制链接]

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发表于 2022-1-23 02:55:15 |显示全部楼层
Fred Fleitz to Newsmax: Blinken too Inexperienced to Match Russia's Foreign Minister

Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov was emboldened to push Secretary of State Antony Blinken for concessions on Ukraine because "he saw such weakness" in President Joe Biden's press conference this past week and because of Blinken's inexperience, former National Security Council chief of staff Fred Fleitz said on Newsmax Saturday.

"The negotiations were interesting and it was quite a mismatch," Fleitz told Newsmax's "Wake Up America."

"Sergei Lavrov has been foreign minister for 18 years and Antony Blinken spent most of his career as an aide to Joe Biden, and you could see the difference."

And as a result, Lavrov pushed for "some interesting things," said Fleitz.

"He wanted a written response from the U.S. to Russia's security concerns. The Biden administration said no, then they said, well, we'll give it to you, but we want it to be secret," Fleitz said. "The Russians said no, we're going to publish it. Why would the Biden administration want this to be secret? Because it doesn't want the American people to know what concessions it's offering."

Lavrov also called for all foreign troops to be removed from Bulgaria and Romania, as "this is simply something he can give away in exchange for more concessions on Ukraine," said Fleitz. "He's a very savvy negotiator and he saw such weakness in Biden's press conference, I think it emboldened him to press for things like this."

Meanwhile, Fleitz said the United States has been reluctant to send military aid to Ukraine, unlike former President Donald Trump. However, he added, the United States is sending in some aid, with the idea of making it "much more costly for Russia to invade," and that is part of the Biden administration's "Incoherent policy."

Fleitz said the White House has also given Germany "veto" power over what aid goes to Ukraine.

"The Germans don't want lethal aid in Ukraine, and we've been deferring to them instead of leading, instead of making it a basic determined decision as to the world's leading power, the world's only superpower that will make a stand here," said Fleitz.

That's because Biden "goes by the foreign policy establishment book," he continued.

"Everything has to be multilateral. We don't do things unilaterally. He consulted the Europeans. He's proud to be a member of the European club. I don't want the United States to be a member of the European club or the U.N. club. We have to make decisions sometimes because it's the right thing to do and not to let these people in the establishment decide what our policy is. But that's the way Joe Biden does things."

Meanwhile, polling data shows that Americans don't favor being involved in the situation in Ukraine, "but we also have to recognize that we don't want the United States to be involved in unnecessary wars," said Fleitz.

"We don't want to do something that would spark a war between the United States and Russia. This is a difficult thing to balance…we have to draw the line about keeping America out of areas where there are no strategic U.S. interests. Let's support Ukrainians with diplomacy and with economic sanctions against Russia."

Still, allowing lethal aid for Ukraine "was a good way to go," but it would be better to find a more senior official to negotiate with Russia, said Fleitz.

"We have to get together in a room and have some real negotiations on how to deal with this," he said. "Maybe we could say, we'll put off talking about NATO membership for Ukraine for five years."

But making threats over sanctions that probably won't happen is "undermining American credibility on the world stage," said Fleitz. "Congress could also act in some fashion to send a very strong message as well."

Meanwhile, the way the United States handles Ukraine will send a signal to China at a time when it is "already emboldened" to invade Taiwan.

"I believe that the data that invasion has been moved up already because of Biden's incompetence," said Fleitz. "[There] seems to be a reticence to take preemptive steps, ramping up sanctions now and again. These are all ways to avoid a military conflict being more specific."


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发表于 2022-1-23 02:55:36 |显示全部楼层

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发表于 2022-1-23 02:58:03 |显示全部楼层
这则报道中包括多方面有意思信息

一 布林肯软弱且无经验 不是拉夫罗夫对手

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发表于 2022-1-23 02:59:16 |显示全部楼层
拜登政权估计会对俄罗斯让步,但希望不公开,而俄罗斯坚持公开书面保证

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发表于 2022-1-23 03:00:20 |显示全部楼层
俄罗斯要求北约从罗马尼亚、保加利亚撤军,但真正的意图是乌克兰

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发表于 2022-1-23 03:01:42 |显示全部楼层
德国对于美国如何向乌克兰提供军援拥有事实上的否决权

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发表于 2022-1-23 03:03:53 |显示全部楼层
一种可能的解决方案是西方承诺五年内不讨论乌克兰加入北约问题

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发表于 2022-1-23 03:04:46 |显示全部楼层
过度使用制裁威胁反而会削弱美国信誉

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发表于 2022-1-23 03:09:06 |显示全部楼层

美国驻乌克兰大使馆周六(1月22日)宣布,美国提供给乌克兰价值两亿美元的军援物资中的第一批已于周六运抵基辅。

本周稍早前,美国国务卿访问了乌克兰。乌克兰和西方盟国对俄罗斯最近在乌俄边界集结十万重兵的行动表示关切。俄罗斯否认有发动军事行动的计划。

华盛顿是在去年12月批准这项两亿美元的军事援助项目的。据《华盛顿邮》报报道,这批军援包括一批小型武器和弹药、加密无线电设备、医疗设备和各种零部件。另外还有一些杀伤性武器,比如标枪反坦克导弹和反装甲炮以及重机枪等。

美国大使馆在脸书官网上发表的声明说,“美国将会继续提供此类援助,支持乌克兰武装部队为捍卫乌克兰主权和领土完整,抵御俄罗斯的入侵而作出的努力。”

乌克兰国防部长向美国表示感谢。

乌克兰不是北约成员,因此也不享有北约成员之间达成的共同防御条约,但是,自2014年俄罗斯兼并乌克兰的克里米亚地区之后,北约国家向乌克兰提供了大量的军事援助,为加强乌克兰的防御能力发挥了显著的作用。

导致这次乌俄关系恶化的原因是俄罗斯坚决反对乌克兰试图加入北约。俄罗斯担心,乌克兰加入北约将会显著扩大北约在本地区的影响力,使俄罗斯腹地暴露在北约部队面前。美国和欧洲官员为化解双方的紧张关系进行了不间断的外交斡旋。但就目前来看,俄乌双方边界的紧张局势仍无缓解迹象。

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远航一号  转自:美国之音  发表于 2022-1-23 03:09:26

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发表于 2022-1-23 09:41:33 |显示全部楼层
远航一号 发表于 2022-1-23 03:00
俄罗斯要求北约从罗马尼亚、保加利亚撤军,但真正的意图是乌克兰

哇,这算不算是苏联解体之后北约第一次遭到迎头痛击,要求撤军

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